By Jim Ellis
Nov. 2, 2020 — Tomorrow is the official Election Day, but with early voting delivering nearly 87 million votes and 21 states allowing ballots to come in after Nov. 3, it is likely that many Senate and House races will languish in political overtime. With that background, we look at the polling range of the most recent surveys in battleground Senate races along with the number of people who have already cast their ballots in each state (early voting statistics from TargetSmart.com):
ALABAMA:
• Sen. Doug Jones (D) vs. Tommy Tuberville (R)
Polling Range
High: Cygnal (Oct. 26-28) – Tuberville +14
Low: Auburn U Montgomery (Oct. 23-28) – Tuberville +11
No Early Voting
ALASKA:
• Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) vs. Dr. Al Gross (I/D)
Polling Range
High: Gravis Marketing (Oct. 21-23) – Sullivan +3
Low: Change Research (Oct. 16-19) – Sullivan +3
Early Voting Stats: | |
---|---|
Republican: 49.1% | Total Early Voting 2020: 131,261 |
Democrat: 33.0% | Total Early Voting 2016: 64,583 |
Unaffiliated: 17.9% | Percent Increase: 103% |
ARIZONA:
• Sen. Martha McSally (R) vs. Mark Kelly (D)
Polling Range
High: Siena College/NYT (Oct. 26-30) – Kelly +7
Low: Emerson College (Oct. 29-31) – Kelly +3
Early Voting Stats: | |
---|---|
Republican: 47.0% | Total Early Voting 2020: 2,376,706 |
Democrat: 46.4% | Total Early Voting 2016: 1,658,410 |
Unaffiliated: 6.6% | Percent Increase: 43% |
COLORADO:
• Sen. Cory Gardner (R) vs. Ex-Gov. John Hickenlooper (D)
Polling Range
High: RMG Research (Oct. 9-15) – Hickenlooper +9
Low: Morning Consult (Oct. 11-20) – Hickenlooper +8
Early Voting Stats: | |
---|---|
Democrat: 47.0% | Total Early Voting 2020: 2,376,706 |
Republican: 42.7% | Total Early Voting 2016: 1,658,410 |
Unaffiliated: 9.6% | Percent Increase: 39% |
GEORGIA-A:
• Sen. David Perdue (R) vs. Jon Ossoff (D)
Polling Range
High: Public Policy Polling (Oct. 27-28) – Ossoff +3
Low: Landmark Communications (Oct. 28) – Even
GEORGIA-B: Jungle Primary
• (Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) vs. Rev. Raphael Warnock (D) and Rep. Doug Collins (R)
High: Public Policy Polling (Oct. 27-28) – Warnock +19
– Loeffler + 8
(over Collins)
Low: Emerson College (Oct. 29-31) – Warnock +11
– Collins +3
(over Loeffler)
Early Voting Stats: | |
---|---|
Republican: 49.8% | Total Early Voting 2020: 3,812,140 |
Democrat: 42.9% | Total Early Voting 2016: 2,385,990 |
Unaffiliated: 7.3% | Percent Increase: 60% |