Tag Archives: Gov. Jared Polis

Colorado Sen. Bennet Contemplating Bid for Governor in 2026

By Jim Ellis — Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Governor

Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet (D)

According to a story from the Colorado Sun online news site, Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) is “very, very seriously” considering running for his state’s open Governor’s position next year. Incumbent Gov. Jared Polis (D) is ineligible to seek a third term, so the Governor’s race is guaranteed to proceed without an incumbent running for re-election.

The surprising development will drastically change the Colorado political landscape if the Senator decides to make the move. According to the Sun sources, he is making calls around the state to test his ability to win.

Already, Attorney General Phil Weiser, also term-limited for his current position, is in the Democratic gubernatorial primary. Many others, including Reps. Joe Neguse (D-Lafayette/ Boulder) and Jason Crow (D-Aurora), are said to be evaluating their chances in the Governor’s race. Ex-Senator, former US Interior Secretary, and Biden Administration Ambassador to Mexico, Ken Salazar (D), is also a potential candidate.

Early gubernatorial polling taken without Sen. Bennet or Salazar included has given Rep. Neguse a small lead but with most respondents indicating they are undecided. The race and the entire slate of state politics, however, gets upended if Sen. Bennet becomes a gubernatorial candidate.

Michael Bennet was originally appointed to his position in 2009 by then-Gov. Bill Ritter (D). He was elected to full terms in 2010, 2016, and 2022. He would next stand for re-election in 2028, meaning he could run for Governor next year without risking his Senate seat.

Bennet has averaged only 51.3 percent of the general election vote in his three Senatorial runs, however, the state has moved considerably to the left in the latter years of his tenure. Sen. Bennet was re-elected in 2022 with a 56-41 percent margin over Republican businessman Joe O’Dea. His closest election came in 2010 when he defeated then-Colorado Republican Party chairman (and later Congressman) Ken Buck, 48-46 percent.

The entire slate of Colorado constitutional officers (Secretary of State, State Treasurer, and Attorney General) features term-limited officials. Lt. Gov. Dianne Primavera (D) is eligible to seek re-election but has stated that she will not run, likely as a prelude to entering the Governor’s race.

Therefore, with an open Governor’s race, it appeared we would see a major shifting of positions as each of the current statewide office holders would be looking for new places to run.

As mentioned above, AG Weiser had already announced his candidacy for Governor, Lt. Gov. Primavera is at least a potential gubernatorial candidate, and Secretary of State Jena Griswold (D), initially considering her own Governor’s bid, is apparently also studying her chances in an open Attorney General’s race.

The question should Sen. Bennet decide to run for Governor is whether all of these potential gubernatorial candidates will step aside for him, or continue their own bids for the state’s top job? The answer remains to be seen and determined should the Senator soon announce his candidacy.

If Sen. Bennet runs for Governor and wins, either he or Gov. Polis, as one of the Polis’s last moves in office, would appoint an individual to fill the vacant Senate seat. If the appointment is made after Bennet were elected Governor, one would think that outgoing Gov. Polis, a former Congressman, would be a strong candidate to fill the Senate seat.

Whether Polis or another individual receives a Senate appointment after a purported Bennet gubernatorial victory, the person would serve until the next general election in 2028. Because the seat would be in-cycle that year, the new Senator would have the advantage of running as an incumbent for a full six-year term.

A Bennet gubernatorial candidacy has the potential of turning Colorado Democratic politics upside-down. It remains to be seen what the Senator will do, but the gist of the Colorado Sun article certainly communicates that his entry into the Governor’s race is a likelihood.

Casten and Miller Win in Illinois; Colorado Statewide Races Set;
More Primary Results News

By Jim Ellis — June 29, 2022

Primary Results

Rep. Sean Casten (D-Downers Grove)

Illinois: Reps. Casten and Miller Win — The big news from last night’s primary election surrounded the two paired districts. In the Chicago suburbs, Rep. Sean Casten (D-Downers Grove), who unexpectedly lost his 17-year-old daughter just two weeks ago, scored a landslide win over fellow Rep. Marie Newman (D-La Grange) in the new 6th District that contained more of the latter member’s current turf.

Freshman Rep. Mary Miller (R-Oakland)

In the downstate Republican 15th CD, freshman Rep. Mary Miller (R-Oakland), armed with an endorsement and rally appearance from former President Donald Trump, recorded a decisive 57-43 percent over veteran Rep. Rodney Davis (R-Taylorville). Davis will now see his congressional career draw to a close after serving what will be ten years in the House.

The Democratic pairing occurred in order to create a new Chicago-anchored Hispanic district. State Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-Chicago) easily won the Democratic nomination in this seat, and becomes the prohibitive favorite for the general election. State Sen. Darren Bailey (R-Louisville) won an outright majority with 57 percent of the vote opposite five opponents in the governor’s primary. He advances to the general election to oppose incumbent J. B. Pritzker (D). Conservative activist Kathy Salvi won the Republican Senate nomination, and now faces a likely insurmountable opponent in Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D).

Colorado: Statewide Races Set — As expected, University of Colorado Regent Heidi Ganahl captured the Republican gubernatorial nomination with a 53 percent majority over GOP nominating convention winner Greg Lopez. In the Senate contest, as most predicted, construction company owner Joe O’Dea defeated state Rep. Ron Hanks (R-Penrose) with just under 55 percent of the vote. Like Lopez, Rep. Hanks also won the Republican nominating convention endorsement.

The two will advance to the general election against Gov. Jared Polis (D) and Sen. Michael Bennet (D). Neither incumbent was opposed for re-nomination and both are now heavy favorites to win re-election in November.

MS-3 and 4: Guest Wins; Palazzo Loses — As predicted, despite a scare in the primary election, Mississippi 3rd District Rep. Michael Guest (R-Brandon) easily won re-nomination last night in the Mississippi congressional runoff election. He topped challenger Michael Cassidy with two-thirds of more than 70,000 votes that were cast in last night’s election. Rep. Guest will now have an easy run in the general election.

Rep. Steven Palazzo (R-Biloxi) was not so fortunate in his southern Mississippi 4th CD. He failed to overcome Jackson County Sheriff Mike Ezell and lost his seat in a 54-46 percent count. Palazzo becomes the eighth House incumbent to be denied re-nomination and the fourth who lost to a challenger that was not a fellow incumbent forced into a paired district. Sheriff Ezell is now the heavy favorite to win the seat in November.

NE-1: Flood Wins Special — Another special congressional election was held last night, and this result ended in a closer final tally than originally expected. Nebraska state Sen. Mike Flood (R-Norfolk), a media company owner, claimed the seat with a 53-47 percent victory over fellow state Sen. Patty Pansing Brooks (D-Lincoln) in a district the FiveThirtyEight data organization rates as R+17.

Flood will be sworn into the House upon official election certification. He will replace convicted Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-Lincoln). Rep-Elect Flood and Sen. Pansing Brooks will see each other again. Both are the party nominees for the regular general election in November.

New York: Hochul vs. Zeldin — The New York statewide contests also ended as expected. Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), who ascended from the lieutenant governor’s position when Andrew Cuomo (D) resigned, easily defeated NYC Public advocate Jumaane Williams and US Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove), 68-19-13 percent. Williams was unopposed for the Working Families ballot line, so he will advance into the general election despite his loss last night.

The Republican battle was a bit closer. US Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-Shirley; East Long Island) topped Andrew Giuliani, son of ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, in a 44-23 percent split. Former Westchester County executive and 2018 gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino and businessman Harry Wilson recorded 18 and 15 percent, respectively. Gov. Hochul begins the general election as the decided favorite.
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March 3, 2020: The New Super Tuesday

By Jim Ellis

May 3, 2019 — Colorado Gov. Jared Polis (D) announced this week, as expected, that his state’s new primary will move to March 3, 2020, which has clearly become the next presidential cycle’s Super Tuesday.

Previously, Colorado employed the caucus system to apportion delegates, but voters changed to a primary when passing a 2016 ballot initiative, so now the state’s 67 Democratic first-ballot delegates and 37 Republican convention votes will be apportioned through a primary election.

But the Centennial State voters and the Democratic National Committee rules appear to be at odds. According to news reports, the 2016 Colorado electoral primary ballot initiative not only transformed into a primary, but also adopted a winner-take-all apportionment format. While Republicans allow states to award all of their delegates to one candidate based upon a primary or caucus victory, the Democrats, under the McGovern reform rules adopted after the 1972 presidential election, do not.

While the state may want to make the winner-take-all option determinative, the procedure violates Democratic rules, so we could see yet another pre-convention issue develop before the Credentials Committee, the body that certifies all of the delegate votes prior to the convention officially beginning.

The 2020 Democratic nomination process is becoming seriously front-loaded, which could play to the party’s detriment. By rule, only four states, referred to as “The First Four,” may vote before March 1 in the presidential year: Iowa (caucus, 41 first-ballot delegates), New Hampshire (primary, 24), Nevada (caucus, 36), and South Carolina (primary, 54). But just three days after South Carolina concludes, the following Tuesday, March 3, could become the most significant date of the early campaign.

Now that Colorado has joined the 3/3 fold, the following states will vote (in parenthesis, are the number of first ballot votes each entity possesses under the Democratic delegate apportionment formula):

  • Alabama (52)
  • American Samoa (6) – presumed to be voting this day
  • Arkansas (31)
  • California (416)
  • Colorado (67)
  • Democrats Abroad (13)
  • Georgia (105)
  • Massachusetts (91)
  • Minnesota (75)
  • North Carolina (110)
  • Oklahoma (37)
  • Tennessee (64) – probable, but has not yet set the calendar
  • Texas (228)
  • Utah (29)
  • Vermont (16)
  • Virginia (99)

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