By Jim Ellis
Oct. 23, 2020 — Polls are being updated daily in the competitive Senate races. Below are the most recent two surveys from each major contest. Some states provide disparate results, others more consistent. The data source is FiveThirtyEight Polls.
ALABAMA
Moore Information (OCT. 11-15; 504 likely Alabama voters, live interview)
• Tommy Tuberville (R) – 55%
• Sen. Doug Jones (D) – 40%
FM3 Research (Oct. 11-14; 801 likely Alabama voters; live interview)
• Sen. Doug Jones (D) – 48%
• Tommy Tuberville (R) – 47%
ALASKA
Public Policy Polling (Oct. 19-20; 800 Alaska voters, interactive response system)
• Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) – 44%
• Al Gross (D/I) – 41%
Siena College/NYT (Oct. 9-14; 423 likely Alaska voters, live interview)
• Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) – 45%
• Al Gross (D/I) – 37%
ARIZONA
Ipsos/Reuters (Oct. 14-21; 658 likely Arizona voters, online)
• Mark Kelly (D) – 51%
• Sen. Martha McSally (R) – 43%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion (Oct. 18-19; 800 likely Arizona voters, automated)
• Mark Kelly (D) – 48%
• Sen. Martha McSally (R) – 44%
GEORGIA-A
Emerson College (Oct. 17-19; 506 likely Georgia voters; interactive voice response)
• Sen. David Perdue (R) – 46%
• Jon Ossoff (D) – 45%
Garin Hart Yang Research (Oct. 11-14; 600 likely Georgia voters; live interview)
• Jon Ossoff (D) – 48%
• Sen. David Perdue (R) – 43%
GEORGIA-B – Special Election
Siena College/NYT (Oct. 13-19; 759 likely Georgia voters, live interview)
Jungle Primary; top two advance to Jan 5 runoff
• Raphael Warnock (D) – 32%
• Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) – 23%
• Rep. Doug Collins (R) – 17%
• Matt Lieberman (D) – 7%
• Ed Tarver (D) – 2%
Emerson College (Oct. 17-19; 506 likely Georgia voters, interactive voice response)
• Raphael Warnock (D) – 27%
• Rep. Doug Collins (R) – 27%
• Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) – 20%
• Matt Lieberman (D) – 12%
• Ed Tarver (D) – 2%
IOWA
Emerson College (Oct. 19-21; 435 likely Iowa voters, interactive voice response)
• Sen. Joni Ernst (R) – 50%
• Theresa Greenfield (D) – 46%
Siena College/NYT (Oct. 19-20; 753 likely Iowa voters, live interview)
• Sen. Joni Ernst (R) – 55%
• Theresa Greenfield (D) – 44%
KANSAS
Public Policy Polling (Oct. 19-20; 897 likely Kansas voters, interactive voice response)
• Rep. Roger Marshall (R) – 43%
• Sate Sen. Barbara Bollier (D) – 43%
co/efficient (Oct. 18-20; 2,453 likely Kansas voters, live interview & multi-mode)
• Rep. Roger Marshall (R) – 51%
• State. Sen. Barbara Bollier (D) – 39%
KENTUCKY
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy (Oct. 12-15; 625 likely Kentucky voters, live interview)
• Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) – 51%
• Amy McGrath (D) – 42%
No other poll was released in October of this race.
MAINE
Pan Atlantic Research (Oct. 2-4; 600 likely Maine voters, online)
• Speaker Sara Gideon (D) – 47%
• Sen. Susan Collins (R) – 40%
Critical Insights (Sept. 25/-Oct. 4; 466 likely Maine voters)
• Speaker Sara Gideon (D) – 44%
• Sen. Susan Collins (R) – 43%
MICHIGAN
Fox News (Oct. 17-20; 1,032 likely Michigan voters, live interview)
• Sen. Gary Peters (D) – 49%
• John James (R) – 41%
Data for Progress (Oct. 15-18; 830 likely Michigan voters, online & text)
• Sen. Gary Peters (D) – 48%
• John James (R) – 43%
MINNESOTA
Civiqs (Oct. 17-20; 840 likely Minnesota voters, online)
• Sen. Tina Smith (D) – 54%
• Jason Lewis (R) – 43%
Survey USA (Oct. 16-20; 625 likely Minnesota voters, live interview)
• Sen. Tina Smith (D) 43%
• Jason Lewis (R) 42%
MISSISSIPPI
• Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) vs. Ex-Ag Sec’y Mike Espy (D)
No polls have been released in this race since late August
MONTANA
RMG Research (Oct. 15-18; 800 likely Montana voters, digital & text)
• Sen. Steve Daines (R) – 49%
• Gov. Steve Bullock (D) – 47%
Public Policy Polling (Oct. 9-10; 798 likely Montana voters, interactive voice response)
• Sen. Steve Daines (R) – 48%
• Gov. Steve Bullock (D) – 48%
NEW MEXICO
GBAO Research (Oct. 14-17; 600 likely New Mexico voters, live interview)
• Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D) 54%
• Mark Ronchetti (R) 43%
Public Policy Polling (Sept. 30-Oct. 1; 886 likely New Mexico voters, interactive voice response)
• Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D) – 51%
• Mark Ronchetti (R) – 41%
NORTH CAROLINA
Ipsos/Reuters (Oct. 14-20; 660 likely North Carolina voters, online)
• Sen. Thom Tillis (R) – 47%
• Cal Cunningham (D) – 47%
East Carolina University (Oct. 15-18; 1,155 likely North Carolina voters, interactive voice response)
• Cal Cunningham (D) – 48%
• Sen. Thom Tillis (R) – 47%
SOUTH CAROLINA
Morning Consult (Oct. 11-20; 926 likely South Carolina voters, online)
• Jaime Harrison (D) – 47%
• Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) – 45%
Siena College/NYT (Oct. 9-14; 605 likely South Carolina voters, live interview)
• Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) – 46%
• Jaime Harrison (D) – 40%
TEXAS
Morning Consult (Oct. 11-20; 3,347 likely Texas voters, online)
• Sen. John Cornyn (R) – 46%
• M.J. Hegar (D) – 41%
Cygnal Research (Oct. 18-19; 600 likely Texas voters, live interview)
• Sen. John Cornyn (R) – 49%
• M.J. Hegar (D) – 41%
VIRGINIA
Civiqs (Oct. 11-14; 1,231 likely Virginia voters, online)
• Sen. Mark Warner (D) – 54%
• Daniel Gade (R) – 43%
Cygnal Research (Oct. 9-11; 607 likely Virginia voters, live interview)
• Sen. Mark Warner (D) – 51%
• Daniel Gade (R) – 44%
