By Jim Ellis
Nov. 5, 2018 — The pollsters are publishing their final pre-election studies, and here’s were the tightest, top Senate races stand:
ARIZONA
Rep. Martha McSally (R) vs. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D)
• Fox News (Oct. 27-29; 643 likely Arizona voters)
McSally 46; Sinema 46
• SSRS for CNN (Oct. 24-29; 702 likely Arizona voters)
Sinema 51; McSally 47
• OH Predictive Insights for ABC Channel 15 (Oct. 22-23; 600 likely Arizona voters)
McSally 52; Sinema 45
FLORIDA
Sen. Bill Nelson (D) vs. Gov. Rick Scott (R)
• Cygnal (Oct. 27-29; 495 likely Florida voters)
Nelson 50; Scott 48
• SSRS for CNN (Oct. 24-29; 781 likely Florida voters)
Nelson 49; Scott 47
• St. Pete Polls (Oct. 30-31; 2,470 likely Florida voters, automated)
Nelson 49; Scott 47
• Trafalgar Group (Oct. 29-30; 2,543 likely Florida voters, automated)
Nelson 49; Scott 47
INDIANA
Sen. Joe Donnelly (D) vs. Mike Braun (R)
• Fox News (Oct. 27-30; 722 likely Indiana voters)
Donnelly 45; Braun 38
• NBC News/Marist College (Oct. 24-28; 496 likely Indiana voters)
Donnelly 43; Braun 40
• Cygnal (Oct. 26-27; 505 likely Indiana voters)
Braun 49; Donnelly 46
• CBS News/YouGov (Oct. 23-26; 975 likely Indiana voters, automated)
Braun 46; Donnelly 43
MISSOURI
Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) vs. Attorney General Josh Hawley (R)
• Fox News (Oct. 27-30; 741 likely Missouri voters)
McCaskill 43; Hawley 43
• Cygnal (Oct. 26-27; 501 likely Missouri voters)
Hawley 49; McCaskill 46
• Remington Research for Missouri Scout (Oct. 24-25; 1,376 likely√ voters, automated)
Hawley 49; McCaskill 45
MONTANA
Sen. Jon Tester (D) vs. State Auditor Matt Rosendale (R)
• Gravis Marketing (Oct. 24-26; 782 likely Montana voters)
Tester 48; Rosendale 45
• University of Montana (Oct. 10-18; 533 likely Montana voters)
Tester 49; Rosendale 39
• Montana State University Billings (Oct. 8-13; 471 likely Montana voters)
Tester 47; Rosendale 38
NEVADA
Sen. Dean Heller (R) vs Rep. Jacky Rosen (D)
• SSRS for CNN (Oct. 24-29; 622 likely Nevada voters)
Rosen 44; Heller 41
• Ipsos Reuters (Oct. 12-19; 1,137 likely Nevada voters, online)
Heller 47; Rosen 41
NORTH DAKOTA
Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) vs. Rep. Kevin Cramer (R)
• Fox News (Oct. 27-30; 789 likely North Dakota voters)
Cramer 51; Heitkamp 42
• Trafalgar Group (Oct. 23-24; 1,498 likely North Dakota voters, automated)
Cramer 55; Heitkamp 46
TENNESSEE
Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) vs. Ex-Gov. Phil Bredesen (D)
• Fox News (Oct. 27-30; 718 likely Tennessee voters)
Blackburn 50; Bredesen 41
• SSRS for CNN (Oct. 24-29; 764 likely Tennessee voters)
Blackburn 49; Bredesen 45
WEST VIRGINIA
Sen. Joe Manchin (D) vs. Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (R)
• Emerson College (Oct. 28-31; 1,013 likely West Virginia voters, automated)
Manchin 47; Morrisey 42
• Research America for MetroNews (Oct. 19-30; 400 likely West Virginia voters)
Manchin 45; Morrisey 40
