Outstanding Senate & House Races

By Jim Ellis

Nov. 5, 2020 — Two Senate races were called yesterday, one for Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), who scored a 51-42 percent victory over state House Speaker Sara Gideon (D-Freeport). Gideon conceded the race yesterday even though the count had not ended. In Michigan, Sen. Gary Peters (D) was projected as the winner with a very close (49.6 – 48.5 percent) count over GOP challenger John James.

The two calls mean that the high number for the Senate Republican majority is 52, with the Democratic maximum being 51. The most likely outcome from the current trends and potentially projecting the runoff election under what may be a Biden victory at the presidential level is either a Republican majority of 51 or 52 seats.

In the House, 40 races remain uncalled, yet many of them are now reporting 100 percent of the vote being received. Of the 40, the Republicans lead in 25 and the Democrats 15. This would translate in a Republican net gain in the House of most likely between five and nine seats.

Below is a chart of the races that remain uncalled and which candidate is currently leading:

Senate

STATE LEADING CANDIDAGE RACE STATUS % REPORTING
Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan 62.3% 50
Georgia-A Sen. David Perdue (R), must reach 50% 50.2% 97
Georgia-B Rev. Raphael Warnock (D) 32.5% 96
Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) 26.2% Runoff
Maine Sen. Susan Collins (R) 51.1% Winner
Michigan Sen. Gary Peters (D) 49.6% Winner
N. Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis (R) 48.7% 93

House

STATE CD LEADING CANDIDAGE RACE STATUS % REPORTING
AK-AL Rep. Don Young (R) 63.3% 53
AZ-1 Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D) 52.1% 92
AZ-6 Hiral Tipirneni (D) 50.3% 76
CA-8 Jay Obernolte (R) 53.3% 87
CA-4 Rep. Tom McClintock (R) 52.9% 37
CA-21 David Valadao (R) 51.4% 42
CA-25 Christy Smith (D) 50.3% 77
CA-39 Young Kim (R) 50.2% 89
CA-48 Michelle Steel (R) 50.3% 93
CA-50 Darrell Issa (R) 52.2% 51
GA-7 Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) 51.2% 100
IA-2 Marianette Miller-Meeks (R) 50.0% 100
IL-14 Jim Oberweis (R) 50.1% 100
IL-17 Cheri Bustos (D) 51.8% 100
IN-5 Victoria Spartz (R) 50.2% 99
MI-3 Peter Meijer (R) 53.1% 99
MI-5 Dan Kildee (D) 54.3% 100
MI-11 Haley Stevens (D) 50.0% 97
MN-1 Rep. Jim Hagedorn (R) 48.6% 100
MN-2 Rep. Angie Craig (D) 48.2% 100
NJ-2 Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R) 51.0% 75
NV-3 Rep. Susie Lee (D) 48.2% 85
NV-4 Rep. Steven Horsford (D) 49.7% 65
NY-1 Rep. Lee Zeldin (R) 61.3% 99
NY-2 Andrew Garbarino (R) 58.1% 99
NY-3 George Santos (R) 50.5% 99
NY-4 Rep. Kathleen Rice (D) 52.0% 100
NY-11 Nicole Malliotakis (R) 57.9% 95
NY-18 Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 50.8% 100
NY-19 Rep. Antonio Delgado (D) 51.3% 98
NY-22 Claudia Tenney (R) 54.9% 100
NY-24 Rep. John Katko (R) 58.5% 100
PA-7 Lisa Scheller (R) 50.7% 86
PA-8 Jim Bognet (R) 50.5% 86
PA-10 Rep. Scott Perry (R) 54.9% 89
PA-17 Sean Parnell (R) 51.0% 94
TX-24 Beth Van Duyne (R) 48.8% 99
UT-4 Rep. Ben McAdams (D) 48.2% 69
VA-7 Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) 50.6% 100
WA-3 Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) 54.7% 80

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