Voting Resumes Today

By Jim Ellis

March 22, 2016 — Republicans and Democrats in Arizona and Utah visit polling places and caucus meeting sites today, as do Idaho Democrats and Republicans in American Samoa. The big question is whether Sen. Ted Cruz can capture Utah with a majority vote, thereby making it a backdoor Winner-Take-All state. Arizona is the final large Winner-Take-All on the GOP side.

March 22 Lineup:

Arizona (Primary)

Republicans: 58 delegates; Winner-Take-All

Last Public Poll: Opinion Savvy – Fox 10 Phoenix (March 20; 588 likely Arizona Republican primary voters through interactive voice response system): Donald Trump, 46%; Sen. Ted Cruz, 33%; Gov. John Kasich, 17%

Democrats: 85 delegates; proportional – Super Delegates announced: Hillary Clinton, 5; Sen. Bernie Sanders, 1

Last Public Poll: Merrill/West Group (March 7-11; 300 likely Arizona Democratic primary voters): Clinton, 50%; Sanders, 24%

Utah (Caucus)

Republicans: 40 delegates; 15% vote threshold; converts to Winner-Take-All if a candidate breaks 50% of the statewide vote; converts to 0% threshold if fewer than three candidates exceed 15%

Last Public Poll: Y2 Analytics (March 17-19; 500 likely Utah Republican caucus attenders): Cruz, 53%; Kasich, 29%; Trump, 11%

Democrats: 37 delegates; proportional – Super Delegates announced: Clinton, 2; Sanders, 0

Last Public Poll: Dan Jones & Assoc/Deseret News (March 8-15; 194 likely Utah Democratic primary voters): Sanders, 52%; Clinton, 44%

Idaho (Democratic Caucus)

Democrats: 27 delegates; proportional – Super Delegates announced: Clinton, 1; Sanders, 0

Last Public Poll: No available public data

American Samoa (Republican Territorial Caucus)

Republicans: 9 delegates; unbound delegation; the six at-large and three RNC delegates may vote as they please throughout the GOP convention

Last Public Poll: No available public data

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