By Jim Ellis
Aug. 27, 2020 — The Republican National Convention coverage featured several mentions of swing state polling getting closer between the two presidential candidates, and recent moves from both sides would seem to suggest that internal survey numbers also reflect such a trend.
Below, we compare the 10 most recent polls with the 10 prior surveys in each of the key states to better illustrate the campaign’s movement:
ARIZONA
Last 10 Public Polls: July 17 – August 23
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 3.2%
Previous 10 Public Polls: June 26 – July 24
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 4.4%
Swing: Trump +1.2%
FLORIDA
Last 10 Public Polls: July 17 – August 22
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 3.2%
Previous 10 Public Polls: June 8 – July 21
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 6.9%
Swing: Trump +3.7%
GEORGIA
Last 10 Public Polls: July 9 – August 15
• Trump Aggregate Average Lead: 0.4%
Previous 10 Public Polls: May 4 – July 2
• Trump Aggregate Average Lead: 0.1%
Swing: Trump +0.3%
MICHIGAN
Last 10 Public Polls: July 24 – August 23
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 7.0%
Previous 10 Public Polls: July 9 – July 26
• Biden Aggregate Average Lead: 7.4%
Swing: Trump +0.4%