By Jim Ellis
Aug. 19, 2020 — In the wake of yesterday’s primaries, here’s a quick look and analysis of the three states where voters cast their ballots — Florida, Wyoming and Alaska:
Freshman Rep. Ross Spano (R-Dover), who had been under fire and investigation for accepting improper loans to his 2018 campaign, lost his re-nomination campaign last night to Lakeland City Commissioner, local business owner, and retired Navy pilot Scott Franklin in a 51-49 percent count with over 60,000 votes tabulated.
Spano becomes the eighth House incumbent and fifth Republican to lose re-nomination this year, the highest number we’ve seen during recent times in a non-redistricting election. With Franklin now as the new GOP nominee, it is reasonable to believe that the GOP is actually in stronger position to hold the seat because Franklin won’t have the political baggage that Rep. Spano carried.
For the Democrats, former TV News anchorman Alan Cohn defeated state Rep. Adam Hattersley (D-Riverview), 41-33 percent, to advance into the general election. Franklin becomes the clear favorite in this 53-43 percent Trump district that a congressional Democrat has never won since the Lakeland-anchored seat was first created in a similar configuration for the 1992 election.
Both primary winners here were outspent. Rep. Spano raised $1.06 million as compared to Franklin’s $587,000 according to the latest available campaign finance disclosure reports (through the July 29 pre-primary reporting period). Similarly, Rep. Hattersley out-raised Cohn, $642,000 to $589,000.
Elsewhere in the Sunshine State, the two open seats look to have GOP primary winners, both of whom are now prohibitive favorites to win the general election. In retiring Rep. Ted Yoho’s (R-Gainesville) 3rd District, his former staff member and ex-campaign manager Kat Cammack scored an upset win with just over 25 percent of the vote in a field of nine other candidates. She defeated former congressional aide and businessman Judson Sapp, and physician James St. George, both of whom substantially outspent Cammack. She now faces apparent Democratic primary winner Adam Christensen.
In the open 19th District, anchored in the Ft. Myers/Cape Coral area, two-term Rep. Francis Rooney (R-Naples/Ft. Myers) is retiring. In what turned into a very close finish, and one that is likely to venture into political overtime as more votes continue to be counted, state Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Naples) clings to a small 774-vote lead over state House Majority Leader Dane Eagle (R-Cape Coral).
Closely behind Eagle are Casey Askar, who has invested over $3 million into his campaign, and local physician William Figlesthaler who supplemented his effort with over $2 million from his personal funds. Both outspent Donalds by a better than 2:1 ratio. Once this race is officially determined, the new GOP nominee will be a lock in the November election. College professor Cindy Banyai was an easy winner on the Democratic side, but she is a severe underdog in the general election.
In the competitive 13th District primary, US Air Force veteran, businesswoman and conservative activist Anna Paulina Luna won the Republican primary against attorney and former congressional aide Amanda Makki, 2018 nominee George Buck, and two others in another race where the winning candidate was outspent. Luna will now oppose Rep. Charlie Crist (D-St. Petersburg) in the general election.
Elsewhere, Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez scored a 60 percent win in his Republican primary campaign and will now challenge freshman Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-Miami) in South Florida’s 26th District, and Spanish language television personality and 2018 nominee Maria Elvira Salazar was an easy Republican primary winner in the adjoining 27th District. She earns a re-match with freshman Rep. Donna Shalala (D-Miami) in November.
Looking to the other races, Rep. Al Lawson (D-Tallahassee) was re-nominated in the Democratic primary, but with only 56 percent of the vote against two opponents, neither of whom even raised $100,000.
Rep. Bill Posey (R-Rockledge/Titusville) scored a 62 percent Republican primary victory and veteran incumbent Alcee Hastings (D-Delray Beach) recorded 69 percent in his Democratic nomination campaign. All other incumbents topped 70 percent of the vote or were unopposed in their respective primaries.
In an expected result, former four-term Rep. Cynthia Lummis easily won the open Republican US Senate primary with a 60 percent win over nine opponents and now becomes the prohibitive favorite to defeat new Democratic nominee Merav Ben-David, a Laramie college professor and zoologist. Lummis will succeed retiring four-term Sen. Mike Enzi (R).
In the state’s lone House race, incumbent Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wilson/Jackson) recorded a 74 percent win in her Republican primary. She is set to defeat the new Democratic nominee, Native American community activist Lynette Grey Bull, in November.
Also coming as no surprise, Anchorage surgeon Al Gross was an easy Democratic Senate primary winner in the wee early morning hours and now will officially challenge first-term Sen. Dan Sullivan (R).
In the at-large House race, education reform activist and 2018 Democratic nominee Alyse Galvin now officially returns for a re-match with Rep. Don Young (R-Ft. Yukon) who seeks a 25th term in the House. Young is the Dean of the House with 48 years of seniority. This will again be a competitive general election race. Rep. Young defeated Galvin two years ago, 53-46 percent.